Decision Detail

MSFT · trend_continuation_short

The trend is strongly down with a trend continuation pattern hint, indicating a high likelihood of further declines.

SELL Structured model response validation valid cycle 20260331155916-be3fed7b

Decision Summary

Actionsell

Confidence80

Setup Typetrend_continuation_short

Risk Levelmedium

Biasshort

Market Regimeunknown

Action Plan

Size0.2000

Stop Loss0.2000

Take Profit0.5000

Holding Periodswing

Forward Performance

Statusunavailable

Returnnot available

Current Pricenot available

NoteNo traced position outcome is available for this decision.

Reason

The trend is strongly down with a trend continuation pattern hint, indicating a high likelihood of further declines.

Evidence

provider=alpaca market_state=bearish market_regime=unknown setup_type=trend_continuation_short confidence=80.0

Conflict Factors

Daily trade limit reached.

Operator Plan

No operator-plan notes were stored for this decision.

Feature Snapshot

No compact feature snapshot is stored for this decision.

Stored Payloads

Raw Inspectors

Unified Decision Payload

{
  "action": "sell",
  "confidence": 80,
  "expected_holding_period": "swing",
  "invalidation_condition": "Price closes above 368.11 (day high)",
  "market_state": "bearish",
  "reason": "The trend is strongly down with a trend continuation pattern hint, indicating a high likelihood of further declines.",
  "risk_level": "medium",
  "setup_type": "trend_continuation_short",
  "stop_loss_pct": 0.2,
  "suggested_position_pct": 0.2,
  "take_profit_pct": 0.5
}

Feature Snapshot

{}

Signal Snapshot

{}

Risk Snapshot

{}

Source Snapshot

{
  "cache_used": false,
  "change": 5.11,
  "change_pct": 1.42,
  "data_age_seconds": 0.0,
  "data_source_attempted": "alpaca",
  "data_source_final": "alpaca",
  "error_category": null,
  "fetched_at": "2026-03-31T15:59:20.960305+00:00",
  "history": [
    {
      "close": 408.96,
      "high": 413.05,
      "low": 408.5101,
      "open": 409.2,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-06T05:00:00Z",
      "volume": 31238046
    },
    {
      "close": 409.41,
      "high": 410.21,
      "low": 403.5,
      "open": 404.915,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-09T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 30265033
    },
    {
      "close": 405.76,
      "high": 410.2,
      "low": 402.93,
      "open": 410.03,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-10T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 31826533
    },
    {
      "close": 404.88,
      "high": 409.01,
      "low": 401.59,
      "open": 405.57,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-11T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 25624924
    },
    {
      "close": 401.86,
      "high": 406.12,
      "low": 401.71,
      "open": 404.63,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-12T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 27375170
    }
  ],
  "history_provider_name": "alpaca",
  "is_stale": false,
  "last_http_status": null,
  "previous_close": 358.82,
  "price": 363.93,
  "provider_duration_ms": 928.18,
  "provider_failure_reason": null,
  "provider_name": "alpaca",
  "provider_priority_used": true,
  "provider_response_timestamp": "2026-03-31T15:59:20.960305+00:00",
  "provider_success": true,
  "provider_success_map": {
    "alpaca": {
      "category": null,
      "last_http_status": null,
      "provider_response_timestamp": "2026-03-31T15:59:20.960305+00:00",
      "reason": null,
      "retry_count": 0,
      "success": true
    }
  },
  "provider_timestamp_diff": null,
  "reason": "Alpaca snapshot loaded.",
  "retry_count": 0,
  "source_snapshot": {
    "dailyBar": {
      "c": 363.985,
      "h": 368.11,
      "l": 363.14,
      "n": 7986,
      "o": 364.4,
      "t": "2026-03-31T04:00:00Z",
      "v": 357708,
      "vw": 365.499565
    },
    "latestQuote": {
      "ap": 369,
      "as": 120,
      "ax": "V",
      "bp": 363.99,
      "bs": 40,
      "bx": "V",
      "c": [
        "R"
      ],
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:59:20.809778801Z",
      "z": "C"
    },
    "latestTrade": {
      "c": [
        "@"
      ],
      "i": 8006,
      "p": 363.93,
      "s": 100,
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:59:08.553302571Z",
      "x": "V",
      "z": "C"
    },
    "minuteBar": {
      "c": 363.985,
      "h": 364.05,
      "l": 363.98,
      "n": 16,
      "o": 363.99,
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:58:00Z",
      "v": 426,
      "vw": 364.015405
    },
    "prevDailyBar": {
      "c": 358.82,
      "h": 365.33,
      "l": 356.29,
      "n": 29677,
      "o": 361.7,
      "t": "2026-03-30T04:00:00Z",
      "v": 1521101,
      "vw": 360.69849
    }
  },
  "status": "ok",
  "symbol": "MSFT"
}