Decision Detail

XOM · no_trade

The market shows mixed trends with weak strength and conflicting evidence. Although there is a hint of a possible up reversal, the overall confidence is low and the trend is not strong enough to warrant a trade.

HOLD Structured model response validation valid cycle 20260331155916-be3fed7b

Decision Summary

Actionhold

Confidence50

Setup Typeno_trade

Risk Levellow

Biasmixed

Market Regimeunknown

Action Plan

Size0.0000

Stop Loss0.0000

Take Profit0.0000

Holding Periodunknown

Forward Performance

Statusunavailable

Returnnot available

Current Pricenot available

NoteNo traced position outcome is available for this decision.

Reason

Evidence

provider=alpaca market_state=choppy market_regime=unknown setup_type=no_trade confidence=50.0

Conflict Factors

not available

Operator Plan

No operator-plan notes were stored for this decision.

Feature Snapshot

No compact feature snapshot is stored for this decision.

Stored Payloads

Raw Inspectors

Unified Decision Payload

{
  "action": "hold",
  "confidence": 50,
  "expected_holding_period": "unknown",
  "invalidation_condition": "Trend direction does not establish a clear signal for action.",
  "market_state": "choppy",
  "reason": "The market shows mixed trends with weak strength and conflicting evidence. Although there is a hint of a possible up reversal, the overall confidence is low and the trend is not strong enough to warrant a trade.",
  "risk_level": "low",
  "setup_type": "no_trade",
  "stop_loss_pct": 0,
  "suggested_position_pct": 0,
  "take_profit_pct": 0
}

Feature Snapshot

{}

Signal Snapshot

{}

Risk Snapshot

{}

Source Snapshot

{
  "cache_used": false,
  "change": 1.94,
  "change_pct": 1.13,
  "data_age_seconds": 0.0,
  "data_source_attempted": "alpaca",
  "data_source_final": "alpaca",
  "error_category": null,
  "fetched_at": "2026-03-31T15:59:17.224024+00:00",
  "history": [
    {
      "close": 151.21,
      "high": 153.8,
      "low": 149.96,
      "open": 153.15,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-06T05:00:00Z",
      "volume": 21146957
    },
    {
      "close": 150.44,
      "high": 153.8899,
      "low": 149.47,
      "open": 152.015,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-09T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 25547093
    },
    {
      "close": 148.13,
      "high": 150.4,
      "low": 147.7,
      "open": 149.25,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-10T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 19629772
    },
    {
      "close": 151.58,
      "high": 151.81,
      "low": 147.66,
      "open": 147.99,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-11T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 15307487
    },
    {
      "close": 153.53,
      "high": 155.0,
      "low": 151.63,
      "open": 152.265,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-12T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 26065186
    }
  ],
  "history_provider_name": "alpaca",
  "is_stale": false,
  "last_http_status": null,
  "previous_close": 171.43,
  "price": 173.37,
  "provider_duration_ms": 950.2,
  "provider_failure_reason": null,
  "provider_name": "alpaca",
  "provider_priority_used": true,
  "provider_response_timestamp": "2026-03-31T15:59:17.224024+00:00",
  "provider_success": true,
  "provider_success_map": {
    "alpaca": {
      "category": null,
      "last_http_status": null,
      "provider_response_timestamp": "2026-03-31T15:59:17.224024+00:00",
      "reason": null,
      "retry_count": 0,
      "success": true
    }
  },
  "provider_timestamp_diff": null,
  "reason": "Alpaca snapshot loaded.",
  "retry_count": 0,
  "source_snapshot": {
    "dailyBar": {
      "c": 173.24,
      "h": 174.35,
      "l": 171.675,
      "n": 4372,
      "o": 172.74,
      "t": "2026-03-31T04:00:00Z",
      "v": 347826,
      "vw": 173.272653
    },
    "latestQuote": {
      "ap": 173.39,
      "as": 200,
      "ax": "V",
      "bp": 163.31,
      "bs": 100,
      "bx": "V",
      "c": [
        "R"
      ],
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:59:16.573622596Z",
      "z": "A"
    },
    "latestTrade": {
      "c": [
        " "
      ],
      "i": 52983678595698,
      "p": 173.37,
      "s": 100,
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:59:16.469992877Z",
      "x": "V",
      "z": "A"
    },
    "minuteBar": {
      "c": 173.24,
      "h": 173.39,
      "l": 173.24,
      "n": 21,
      "o": 173.34,
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:58:00Z",
      "v": 1240,
      "vw": 173.351389
    },
    "prevDailyBar": {
      "c": 171.43,
      "h": 176.4,
      "l": 171.05,
      "n": 15847,
      "o": 172.385,
      "t": "2026-03-30T04:00:00Z",
      "v": 1316630,
      "vw": 173.38982
    }
  },
  "status": "ok",
  "symbol": "XOM"
}