Decision Detail

AAPL · breakdown_short

The trend is down with moderate strength and bearish momentum, supported by a reversal pattern hint indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.

SELL Structured model response validation valid cycle 20260331155748-80c4a290

Decision Summary

Actionsell

Confidence65

Setup Typebreakdown_short

Risk Levelmedium

Biasshort

Market Regimeunknown

Action Plan

Size0.1000

Stop Loss0.1000

Take Profit0.3000

Holding Periodswing

Forward Performance

Statusunavailable

Returnnot available

Current Pricenot available

NoteNo traced position outcome is available for this decision.

Reason

The trend is down with moderate strength and bearish momentum, supported by a reversal pattern hint indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.

Evidence

provider=alpaca market_state=bearish market_regime=unknown setup_type=breakdown_short confidence=65.0

Conflict Factors

Daily trade limit reached.

Operator Plan

No operator-plan notes were stored for this decision.

Feature Snapshot

No compact feature snapshot is stored for this decision.

Stored Payloads

Raw Inspectors

Unified Decision Payload

{
  "action": "sell",
  "confidence": 65,
  "expected_holding_period": "swing",
  "invalidation_condition": "Price closes above 250.00",
  "market_state": "bearish",
  "reason": "The trend is down with moderate strength and bearish momentum, supported by a reversal pattern hint indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend.",
  "risk_level": "medium",
  "setup_type": "breakdown_short",
  "stop_loss_pct": 0.1,
  "suggested_position_pct": 0.1,
  "take_profit_pct": 0.3
}

Feature Snapshot

{}

Signal Snapshot

{}

Risk Snapshot

{}

Source Snapshot

{
  "cache_used": false,
  "change": 1.97,
  "change_pct": 0.8,
  "data_age_seconds": 0.0,
  "data_source_attempted": "alpaca",
  "data_source_final": "alpaca",
  "error_category": null,
  "fetched_at": "2026-03-31T15:57:51.410291+00:00",
  "history": [
    {
      "close": 257.46,
      "high": 258.77,
      "low": 254.37,
      "open": 258.63,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-06T05:00:00Z",
      "volume": 41273884
    },
    {
      "close": 259.88,
      "high": 261.15,
      "low": 253.6805,
      "open": 255.69,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-09T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 38398591
    },
    {
      "close": 260.83,
      "high": 262.48,
      "low": 256.95,
      "open": 257.645,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-10T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 30750595
    },
    {
      "close": 260.81,
      "high": 262.13,
      "low": 259.55,
      "open": 261.09,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-11T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 26372593
    },
    {
      "close": 255.76,
      "high": 258.95,
      "low": 254.18,
      "open": 258.66,
      "timestamp": "2026-03-12T04:00:00Z",
      "volume": 40952141
    }
  ],
  "history_provider_name": "alpaca",
  "is_stale": false,
  "last_http_status": null,
  "previous_close": 246.72,
  "price": 248.69,
  "provider_duration_ms": 919.42,
  "provider_failure_reason": null,
  "provider_name": "alpaca",
  "provider_priority_used": true,
  "provider_response_timestamp": "2026-03-31T15:57:51.410291+00:00",
  "provider_success": true,
  "provider_success_map": {
    "alpaca": {
      "category": null,
      "last_http_status": null,
      "provider_response_timestamp": "2026-03-31T15:57:51.410291+00:00",
      "reason": null,
      "retry_count": 0,
      "success": true
    }
  },
  "provider_timestamp_diff": null,
  "reason": "Alpaca snapshot loaded.",
  "retry_count": 0,
  "source_snapshot": {
    "dailyBar": {
      "c": 248.69,
      "h": 249.23,
      "l": 247.125,
      "n": 5011,
      "o": 247.91,
      "t": "2026-03-31T04:00:00Z",
      "v": 315005,
      "vw": 248.320078
    },
    "latestQuote": {
      "ap": 248.65,
      "as": 100,
      "ax": "V",
      "bp": 247,
      "bs": 100,
      "bx": "V",
      "c": [
        "R"
      ],
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:57:51.246437678Z",
      "z": "C"
    },
    "latestTrade": {
      "c": [
        "@"
      ],
      "i": 5015,
      "p": 248.685,
      "s": 100,
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:57:18.656952642Z",
      "x": "V",
      "z": "C"
    },
    "minuteBar": {
      "c": 248.69,
      "h": 248.92,
      "l": 248.69,
      "n": 18,
      "o": 248.92,
      "t": "2026-03-31T15:56:00Z",
      "v": 653,
      "vw": 248.783333
    },
    "prevDailyBar": {
      "c": 246.72,
      "h": 250.73,
      "l": 245.55,
      "n": 14855,
      "o": 250.04,
      "t": "2026-03-30T04:00:00Z",
      "v": 897337,
      "vw": 246.82277
    }
  },
  "status": "ok",
  "symbol": "AAPL"
}